News on Chartwell, great speakers and hot topics

Paul Markillie: expert speaker on the third industrial revolution

Paul Markillie is the Innovation Editor at The Economist and the man behind the newspaper’s special report on the transformative potential of new innovations in manufacturing technologies, materials and processes.

“As manufacturing goes digital, it will change out of all recognition … The wheel is almost coming full circle, turning away from mass manufacturing and towards much more individualised production. And that in turn could bring some of the jobs back to rich countries that long ago lost them to the industrialised world.”

When Paul dropped into Chartwell’s office last week for a cup of tea he told us how this new wave of disruptive innovation, being developed in the US and Europe, could undermine the advantages currently enjoyed by low wage economies like China and India. Next time he drops by he promised to bring with him a claw hammer he recently had made for him by a 3-D printer!

 

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The Coalition is increasingly fragile

European politics may be headlining the papers today, but the Times also leads on UK politics claiming that, in spite of the coalition promise to lead for a full term, the Lib Dems feel they may be forced to withdraw from government early in order to avoid being wiped out at the 2014 election.

To mark the 2 year anniversary of the coalition on Saturday 12 May, the Times has interviewed dozens of senior figures from both parties for an investigation into the reality of coalition relations.

The leading article can be found here, followed with an in depth piece by Roland Watson here.

 

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Looking forward to meeting up with Ruchir Sharma in New York

This Spectator interview of Ruchir Sharma (4 May) is worth reading. Here’s more on Ruchir’s argument that we need to (i) adopt more realistic expectations about growth markets which are in line with previous trends and (ii) start being more selective in how we go about spotting winners and losers:

1) Is it time to lose faith in the BRICs?
We need to stop thinking in BRIC terms. The whole idea of lumping emerging markets into catch-all categories, under increasingly silly acronyms, has run out of control. My favourite is CIVETS — a reference to an exotic cat. The BRIC nations are the largest emerging markets, but other than that they have very little in common. They have to be analysed individually — but yes, an individual analysis of Brazil, Russia, and China suggests all are likely to undershoot expectations in the next five to ten years, and that India is a borderline case.

I’m meeting up with Ruchir when I’m in New York later in the month. Lots to talk about.

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Joschka Fischer speaks out for a Federal Europe

Joschka Fischer took part in a lively panel debate last night on the future of Europe. Questioned on whether Germans would be willing to pay for southern European countries’ profligacy, Herr Fischer replied that, as a federal nation, Germany is used to transferring wealth from one region to another. It would not be so great a leap to expand this logic beyond the borders of the nation state.

You can see Herr Fischer speaking more about the future of Europe here.

 

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Philip Delves-Broughton on the art of the sale

Philip Delves-Broughton is a US-based journalist and commentator on management and business leadership. His new book, Life’s a Pitch (Penguin, 2012), explores the motivations and psychology and morality behind sales – what makes great salesmanship, what is the interface between sales and morality. ”They are” he argues “the motor of any economy.” Click here to watch Philip on the art of the sale.

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Sir Mervyn King’s speech in full

Here’s a link to the Bank of England Governor’s Annual BBC Today Programme Lecture : http://news.bbc.co.uk/today/hi/today/newsid_9718000/9718062.stm

And here you will find a link to an interview between Evan Davies and Sir Mervyn King, which followed the Lecture:  http://news.bbc.co.uk/today/hi/today/newsid_9718000/9718367.stm

 

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Nasser Saidi: Why job creation is crucial for MENA states

Although high oil prices meant that oil-exporting countries in the Middle East and North Africa were relatively protected by the financial crisis that gripped the Eurozone and other parts of the world, a report by the IMF,  has suggested that the region is still in for a bumpy ride as oil-importing countries bore the brunt of higher prices combined with political unrest and regime changes.

According to the Regional Economic Outlook Update for the Middle East North Africa, Afghanistan, and Pakistan region (MENAP) , one area of real concern is unemployment, particularly in the Arab Spring states.

Dr Nasser Saidi, Chief Economist at the Dubai International Financial Centre, where the report was launched, said that job creation was the top priority.

“Over 20 years, we need to create 100m jobs, as many as have been created to date since the 1950s,” he said. ”We need to change the game into a growth-lifting strategy.”

We’re really looking forward to hearing more on this subject from Dr Saidi when he takes part in our Breakfast Club discussion at the RAC on 1st June.

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A Nasty Month for the Tories

Alex Deane, Head of Public Affairs at Weber Shandwick, dropped by the office for a quick coffee yesterday and shed some fascinating light on how key issues of the day are playing out in Westminster.

It has been a rotten month for the Tory brand. News that the UK has entered a double dip recession is a particularly nasty blow for George Osborne. The only saving grace for him is that his economic policies have, over the past years, largely been backed by most of the press and have been lent credibility by a positive reaction from the bond markets. In other words, it’s not just him who has made a mistake. However, if the next quarter also shows disappointing figures, he will be in real trouble.

Things have been equally miserable for Jeremy Hunt. Widely tipped as a rising star in British politics, he now needs to show he can handle the pressures of political scandal. This is his first real political test, and if he can’t take it it’s better for the Tories – and arguably the nation – that he realises it before he is appointed to a higher position.

Today is election day, and it is worth noting that Boris Johnson’s campaign to be re-elected London Mayor has rather conspicuously shed the Tory brand, focusing instead solely on his own personality. Even a resounding endorsement from David Cameron was treated ambivalently by the Boris camp. That just about sums up a pretty miserable few weeks for the Conservatives.

 

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Mervyn King speaks on Eurozone risk

In his BBC Today Programme lecture, given last night, Bank of England Governor Sir Mervyn King endorsed David Cameron’s recent warnings that the UK remains highly vulnerable to fall-out from the Eurozone crisis, which he described as”far from over”. He argued that the risk of Eurozone failure was another factor supporting further reform of the UK’s banking system; “… we’ve been pushing for banks to pay out less to their shareholders and employees and instead retain profits as a cushion against possible losses.”

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Nick Burns and Lionel Barber on the long term outlook for Europe and the US

Ambassador Nick Burns, a former US Under Secretary of State and US Ambassador to NATO and now Professor of the Practice of Diplomacy and International Politics at Harvard‘s John F. Kennedy School of Government, is coming to the UK shortly, and I am looking forward to catching up with him. Nick is an astute observer of global affairs, and an American who has a profound understanding of how the rest of the world thinks and operates, and the changing world order which the US must manage and navigate. I enjoyed watching this discussion between Nick and the FT’s Editor Lionel Barber, discussing Europe and the US response to the unravelling crisis.

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